Why the 30 June 2027 value matters
When you sell, your gain is split in two at 30 June 2027. The part before that date keeps the 50% discount. The part after is taxed in full, but only above inflation. The value on 30 June 2027 decides where the split falls, so it decides how much of your gain is taxed each way.
How Treasury's formula works
The draft determination (consultation closed 21 August 2026) gives owners of real property a free alternative to a valuation. It works out one daily growth rate that turns your purchase price into your sale price over the days you owned it, then applies that rate up to 30 June 2027. Our calculator follows its nine steps exactly and matches its worked example to the cent.
When a valuation beats the formula
Tax on the sale is lowest when the 30 June 2027 value, indexed for inflation to the sale date, exactly matches what you net from the sale. That gives a clear rule of thumb:
- Strong growth after July 2027: a valuation above the formula's figure saves tax, because more of the gain gets the discount.
- Growth after July 2027 slower than inflation: a valuation below the formula's figure saves tax, because the extra gain lands where indexation shields it.
- In between: the formula is often close to the best you can do, and a valuation fee isn't worth it.
For our default example (bought for $700,000 in July 2020, owner on $120,000, sold in July 2031), the formula puts the value at about $906,000:
| Sale price in 2031 | Formula value | A valuation saves tax if it's |
|---|---|---|
| $850,000 | $792,023 | below about $788,000 |
| $1,050,000 | $905,975 | between about $908,000 and $951,000 |
| $1,300,000 | $1,037,817 | above about $1,040,000 |
A valuation has to be a genuine market value: you can't choose the number. Use this to decide whether ordering one is worth it, not to aim for a figure.
What we don't know yet
The determination is still a draft, and the ATO hasn't said what evidence it will accept for a 30 June 2027 value. We'll update this page when either changes, and log it in the changelog.